The recent lightning victories of the Sunni extremist group the ISIS in Iraq have surprised many Middle Eastern countries. This includes Iran.
My latest article for Al Monitor looks at the short and long term opportunities and threats for Iran.
Its not as straightforward as some people believe.
I am sure you still remember the 2009 presidential elections in Iran. The one which the opposition said was rigged.
A controversial video has now been leaked in which the head of the Revolutionary Guards confirms that his organization intervened in those elections, because they didn’t like the impending result. So the opposition was right, the 2009 elections were rigged.
My latest article looks at the implications of this new video. Please share with family and friends.
Iranian conservatives are worried. A nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 will boost Iranian president Rouhani’s position at home. They don’t want that.
So what can they do?
My latest article explains:
Israel and the United States do not have much cause for concern about reports of two multi billion dollar deals being negotiated between Iran and Russia.
Neither deal is likely to increase Iran’s leverage so it could ignore the nuclear negotiations. Nor is it likely that the deals will boost Iran’s leverage at the talks.
Rouhani is the anti-Ahmadinejad and vice versa.
Their supporters view the other side with deep suspicion and animosity.
Yet the return of Ahmadinejad to Iranian politics could be good news for Rouhani.
Sounds counter intuitive?
Read below to find out why it could make sense.
We are witnessing something which has rarely been seen in recent Iran-Israel tensions: a series of goodwill gestures by both sides.
Difficult to believe, but true.
You can find out more from my latest article.
Over the last two years, the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) has had one of the fastest growing indexes in the entire region. So fast that it has had many people baffled.
For example: why is it when Iran’s economy was in the doldrums the TSE was rising, and now that some of the sanctions are being removed its seeing historic falls?
Just what is going on?
My latest article explains.
I feel that I am not being a good Jew. That I am not keeping up with my people’s traditions. Why? because tomorrow is Christmas day and I don’t know a good Chinese restaurant to eat at. Oy vey!
I hope my latest article makes up for it.
In 2014, to foresee Iran’s behavior at the nuclear negotiations, we must look at domestic politics.
My article explains more:
Merry Christmas from Israel,