Khamenei: Betweeen Obama and a Hard Place

The possibility of talks between Iran and the P5+1 group is increasing every day.

Just how much can Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei offer at these talks?

http://the-diplomat.com/2012/01/21/iran-between-u-s-and-a-hard-place/

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Iran’s Imperfect Trap for Obama

A sudden rise in oil prices could do to Obama’s reelection bid what Ayatollah Ali Khomeini’s 1979 takeover of the U.S. embassy did to Carter’s reelection ambitions, namely wreck them.

Still, the threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz could come back to haunt Iran’s leaders.

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/12/30/iran%E2%80%99s-imperfect-trap-for-obama/

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British Embassy Attack: Mojtaba Khamenei’s Work?

While it’s certainly possible that the supreme leader  has become even more hard line, there’s also another possibility that has generally been overlooked – has Khamenei, as part of a plan to groom his son Mojtaba as his successor, transferred some of his authority to his son?

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/12/02/embassy-siege-sign-of-whats-ahead/

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Forecasting a possible Israeli attack against Iran

If you want to know whether Israel is about to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities then you’d be better served looking at Iran-related policy and statements emanating from Washington DC than speculative reports from the Israeli press.

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/11/04/why-israel-won%E2%80%99t-go-it-alone/

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Iran’s AMIA Outreach

What is the reason behind Iran’s recent AMIA outreach to the Argentine government?

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/07/irans-failed-latin-america-outreach/242331/

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Ahmadinejad, The Finicky Fighter

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad: fighter, albeit a finicky one, who despite pre-election claims, was most probably not a member of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC).

Bits of history, plus some maths to help those interested estimate whether he will get to finish his term as president.

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/07/ahmadinejad-fighter/241601/

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Iran anxious over losing Syrian ally

Short sharp analysis outlining Iran’s point of view vis a vis developments in Syria, and their priority for Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei.

http://www.thejc.com/comment-and-debate/analysis/49156/iran-anxious-over-losing-syrian-ally

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Why Iran Misses Bin Laden

It’s hard not to get the sense that if Iran’s leaders could have chosen between anti-Shia bin Laden being killed or Obama losing the next presidential election, they’d have opted for the latter.

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/05/13/why-iran-misses-bin-laden/

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