Khamenei: Betweeen Obama and a Hard Place

The possibility of talks between Iran and the P5+1 group is increasing every day.

Just how much can Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei offer at these talks?

http://the-diplomat.com/2012/01/21/iran-between-u-s-and-a-hard-place/

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Will Iran Lash Out at Weak Israel?

A cornered Iranian supreme leader might be tempted to boost his domestic standing by lashing out at Israel. Israel is ill-equipped to respond.

http://the-diplomat.com/2012/01/07/will-iran-lash-out-at-weak-israel/

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Iran’s Imperfect Trap for Obama

A sudden rise in oil prices could do to Obama’s reelection bid what Ayatollah Ali Khomeini’s 1979 takeover of the U.S. embassy did to Carter’s reelection ambitions, namely wreck them.

Still, the threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz could come back to haunt Iran’s leaders.

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/12/30/iran%E2%80%99s-imperfect-trap-for-obama/

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British Embassy Attack: Mojtaba Khamenei’s Work?

While it’s certainly possible that the supreme leader  has become even more hard line, there’s also another possibility that has generally been overlooked – has Khamenei, as part of a plan to groom his son Mojtaba as his successor, transferred some of his authority to his son?

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/12/02/embassy-siege-sign-of-whats-ahead/

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Memo to Iran: Obama Won’t Let It Go

If Khamenei thinks that Obama is going to simply walk away from all this, he will almost certainly prove mistaken.

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/11/10/memo-to-iran-obama-won%E2%80%99t-let-it-go/

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Forecasting a possible Israeli attack against Iran

If you want to know whether Israel is about to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities then you’d be better served looking at Iran-related policy and statements emanating from Washington DC than speculative reports from the Israeli press.

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/11/04/why-israel-won%E2%80%99t-go-it-alone/

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Ali Khamenei: Preparing for the day after

On the 24th of July 2009, an ARIA Air flight from Tehran to Mashhad crash landed, killing 17 people, including the pilot and the co-pilot.
Results of the ensuing investigations showed that a serious quarrel between the pilot and co-pilot was a major cause of  the crash.
Khamenei seems to be worried that the same could happen to his regime, and could take appropriate action to avoid the same fate.

http://the-diplomat.com/2011/10/21/ahmadinejad-iran%E2%80%99s-last-president/

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Iranian bomb plot and its domestic implications

What are the likely domestic implications of the recent plot against the Saudi ambassador for Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/oct/18/iranian-bomb-plot-khamenei

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