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Iranians, Israelis could live with ‘bad’ nuclear deal
The Israeli and Iranian publics can live with what their leaders each consider a “bad” nuclear deal.
My latest article explains:
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/10/iran-israel-nuclear-talks-public.html
The future of Iran after Khamenei
My latest opinion piece for Aljazeera America tries to answer this important question.
http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2014/9/iran-khamenei-succession.html
Re: Iran vs Israel, Gaza is not as important as before
Numerous things were learned from the recent Hamas vs Israel war in Gaza.
One of them was that when it comes to being an arena where Iran and Israel faced each other off, Gaza is losing its importance.
Hamas has got a new Qatari patron and its not clear whether Iran will be able to woo it back.
My latest article explains.
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/08/iran-qatar-israel-hamas-gaza.html
Iran’s uncertain intervention in Iraq
The recent lightning victories of the Sunni extremist group the ISIS in Iraq have surprised many Middle Eastern countries. This includes Iran.
My latest article for Al Monitor looks at the short and long term opportunities and threats for Iran.
Its not as straightforward as some people believe.
http://www.al-monitor.com/
Iran: Rigged elections and video tapes
I am sure you still remember the 2009 presidential elections in Iran. The one which the opposition said was rigged.
A controversial video has now been leaked in which the head of the Revolutionary Guards confirms that his organization intervened in those elections, because they didn’t like the impending result. So the opposition was right, the 2009 elections were rigged.
My latest article looks at the implications of this new video. Please share with family and friends.
Rouhani: The day after a nuclear deal
Iranian conservatives are worried. A nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 will boost Iranian president Rouhani’s position at home. They don’t want that.
So what can they do?
My latest article explains:
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/05/rouhani-opponents-iran-contain-influence.html
#Iran – #Russia energy deals no threat to nuclear talks
Israel and the United States do not have much cause for concern about reports of two multi billion dollar deals being negotiated between Iran and Russia.
Neither deal is likely to increase Iran’s leverage so it could ignore the nuclear negotiations. Nor is it likely that the deals will boost Iran’s leverage at the talks.
Ahmadinejad’s return may be boost for Rouhani
Rouhani is the anti-Ahmadinejad and vice versa.
Their supporters view the other side with deep suspicion and animosity.
Yet the return of Ahmadinejad to Iranian politics could be good news for Rouhani.
Sounds counter intuitive?
Read below to find out why it could make sense.
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/04/iran-ahmadinejad-return-politics.html